Round 19 · simulation 29 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-score-sum

Round 2045

Round 19 of 20 in simulation 29 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.038 to 8.16.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2045 (the end of 2044) and as it left it.

Capability index
8.16 (+0.038)
In: 8.12
Rank by index
66
In: 67
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1
In: 1
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.906.10+0.1966
Strategic Infrastructure8.068.08+0.0237
National Security4.784.80+0.0249 → 8
Human Capital8.858.86+0.0038
Information & Influence9.549.58+0.0346
Governance & Integrity8.918.91+0.00114
Financial Strength8.989.01+0.02617 → 16
Production & Innovation8.448.45+0.01010
Trade & Investment9.619.63+0.02310

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2045: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 169, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 139. Spent 30 on actions (build 8, buy 12, partner 10). 1 carried over.

  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance8 credits for 0.30 levelsmctsahead of Quantum Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing8 credits for 0.85 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerSpace Technologies8 credits for 0.69 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing3 credits for 0.27 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access2 credits for 0.19 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. National Security Tier 9 to 8; Financial Strength Tier 17 to 16.

The groups that moved most in 2045, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+0.85+0.850.000.000.00
Space Technologies+0.69+0.690.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.27+0.270.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.19+0.190.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.14+0.100.000.00+0.04
Artificial Intelligence+0.100.000.000.00+0.10