Round 2036
Round 10 of 20 in simulation 32 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.054 to 6.86.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.86 (+0.055)
- In: 6.80
- Rank by index
- 83
- In: 84
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 4
- In: 4
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.15 | 3.28 | +0.128 | 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.80 | 6.81 | +0.010 | 8 |
| National Security | 3.57 | 3.57 | +0.006 | 10 |
| Human Capital | 8.48 | 8.48 | +0.006 | 9 |
| Information & Influence | 8.44 | 8.56 | +0.127 | 9 → 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.35 | 8.35 | −0.005 | 15 → 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.78 | 7.79 | +0.018 | 20 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.11 | 7.19 | +0.083 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.58 | 7.70 | +0.117 | 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 131, plus 4 carried in. Maintenance 99. Spent 33 on actions (buy 20, partner 13). 4 carried over.
- PartnerArtificial Intelligence7 credits for 0.56 levelsmctsahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 1 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.69 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity7 credits for 0.53 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance7 credits for 0.77 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection7 credits for 0.73 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 9 to 7; Governance & Integrity Tier 15 to 16.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.77 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.69 | +0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.52 | +0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.48 | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.46 | +0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.36 | +0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |