Round 2037
Round 11 of 20 in simulation 32 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.053 to 6.91.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.91 (+0.052)
- In: 6.86
- Rank by index
- 82
- In: 83
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 6
- In: 4
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.28 | 3.48 | +0.209 | 10 → 8 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.81 | 6.82 | +0.011 | 8 |
| National Security | 3.57 | 3.58 | +0.007 | 10 |
| Human Capital | 8.48 | 8.48 | −0.009 | 9 |
| Information & Influence | 8.56 | 8.56 | +0.001 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.35 | 8.34 | −0.005 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.79 | 7.80 | +0.007 | 20 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.19 | 7.28 | +0.085 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.70 | 7.87 | +0.168 | 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 135, plus 4 carried in. Maintenance 100. Spent 33 on actions (buy 20, partner 13). 6 carried over.
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.67 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 1 per cent
- BuyArtificial Intelligence7 credits for 0.81 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection7 credits for 0.72 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 1 per cent
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication7 credits for 0.74 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity7 credits for 0.51 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 0 per cent
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 10 to 8.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.31 | +1.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.21 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.74 | +0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.67 | +0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.53 | +0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.37 | +0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Space Technologies | +0.10 | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |