Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 32 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.053 to 6.96.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.96 (+0.053)
- In: 6.91
- Rank by index
- 81
- In: 82
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 9
- In: 6
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.48 | 3.66 | +0.172 | 8 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.82 | 6.83 | +0.011 | 8 |
| National Security | 3.58 | 3.59 | +0.008 | 10 |
| Human Capital | 8.48 | 8.47 | −0.009 | 9 |
| Information & Influence | 8.56 | 8.57 | +0.005 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.34 | 8.34 | −0.005 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.80 | 7.81 | +0.011 | 20 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.28 | 7.33 | +0.049 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.87 | 8.10 | +0.233 | 12 → 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 139, plus 6 carried in. Maintenance 102. Spent 34 on actions (buy 14, partner 20). 9 carried over.
- PartnerEconomic Output & Productivity7 credits for 0.47 levelsmctsahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.67 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies7 credits for 0.82 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence7 credits for 0.82 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access7 credits for 0.84 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 12 to 11.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +0.82 | +0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.67 | +0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.46 | +0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.42 | +0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.38 | +0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.37 | +0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |