Round 2028
Round 2 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.033 to 6.50.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.50 (+0.033)
- In: 6.47
- Rank by index
- 90
- In: 90
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 1
- In: 2
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.53 | 2.53 | 0.000 | 12 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.90 | 6.90 | 0.000 | 8 |
| National Security | 3.52 | 3.52 | 0.000 | 10 |
| Human Capital | 7.45 | 7.57 | +0.123 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 7.96 | 8.10 | +0.138 | 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.36 | 8.36 | −0.004 | 15 |
| Financial Strength | 7.60 | 7.56 | −0.046 | 20 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.78 | 6.91 | +0.125 | 17 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.09 | 7.05 | −0.036 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2028: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 123, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 92. Spent 32 on actions (build 10, buy 22). 1 carried over.
- BuyTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.47 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 1 per cent
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion7 credits for 0.95 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildDigital & AI Competence7 credits for 0.76 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance7 credits for 0.89 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling3 credits for 0.34 levelsmcts_fill
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.95 | +0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.84 | +0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.05 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.65 | +0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.24 | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.21 | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.13 |