Round 2029
Round 3 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.009 to 6.51.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.51 (+0.009)
- In: 6.50
- Rank by index
- 90
- In: 90
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 0
- In: 1
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.53 | 2.60 | +0.073 | 12 → 11 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.90 | 6.87 | −0.036 | 8 |
| National Security | 3.52 | 3.51 | −0.012 | 10 |
| Human Capital | 7.57 | 7.67 | +0.098 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.10 | 8.08 | −0.016 | 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.36 | 8.35 | −0.004 | 15 |
| Financial Strength | 7.56 | 7.55 | −0.008 | 20 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.91 | 6.87 | −0.040 | 17 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.05 | 7.08 | +0.023 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2029: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 122, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 92. Spent 31 on actions (build 19, buy 6, partner 6). 0 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.29 levelsmctsahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills6 credits for 0.73 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies6 credits for 0.89 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access6 credits for 0.87 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling6 credits for 0.73 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 12 to 11.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +0.88 | +0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.41 | +0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.39 | +0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.33 | +0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.20 | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Artificial Intelligence | −0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.08 |