Round 2030
Round 4 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.030 to 6.54.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.54 (+0.030)
- In: 6.51
- Rank by index
- 90
- In: 90
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 3
- In: 0
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.60 | 2.63 | +0.026 | 11 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.87 | 6.82 | −0.044 | 8 |
| National Security | 3.51 | 3.49 | −0.019 | 10 |
| Human Capital | 7.67 | 7.78 | +0.109 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.08 | 8.07 | −0.006 | 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.35 | 8.34 | −0.007 | 15 |
| Financial Strength | 7.55 | 7.59 | +0.040 | 20 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.87 | 6.96 | +0.097 | 17 → 16 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.08 | 7.15 | +0.072 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 122. Maintenance 93. Spent 27 on actions (build 12, buy 9, partner 6). 3 carried over.
- BuildExport Capability & Sophistication6 credits for 0.49 levelsmctsahead of Technical & Vocational Skills by 1 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills6 credits for 0.71 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.39 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion6 credits for 0.77 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence2 credits for 0.35 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 17 to 16.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.76 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.47 | +0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.42 | +0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.39 | +0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.32 | +0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.03 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.27 | +0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |