Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.028 to 6.57.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.57 (+0.028)
- In: 6.54
- Rank by index
- 90
- In: 90
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 4
- In: 3
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.63 | 2.62 | −0.007 | 11 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.82 | 6.78 | −0.044 | 8 |
| National Security | 3.49 | 3.48 | −0.019 | 10 |
| Human Capital | 7.78 | 7.90 | +0.119 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.07 | 8.14 | +0.068 | 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.34 | 8.34 | −0.005 | 15 |
| Financial Strength | 7.59 | 7.67 | +0.078 | 20 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.96 | 6.95 | −0.010 | 16 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.15 | 7.22 | +0.071 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 124, plus 3 carried in. Maintenance 93. Spent 31 on actions (build 12, partner 18). 4 carried over.
- BuildNuclear Deterrence6 credits for 0.12 levelsmctsahead of Strategic Strike & Missile Defence by 0 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills6 credits for 0.69 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication6 credits for 0.75 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.38 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation6 credits for 0.87 levelsmcts_fill
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.60 | +0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.60 | +0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.47 | +0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.41 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.38 | +0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.20 | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |