Round 2032
Round 6 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.059 to 6.62.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.62 (+0.058)
- In: 6.57
- Rank by index
- 89
- In: 90
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 7
- In: 4
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.62 | 2.79 | +0.167 | 11 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.78 | 6.74 | −0.040 | 8 |
| National Security | 3.48 | 3.46 | −0.016 | 10 |
| Human Capital | 7.90 | 7.99 | +0.088 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.14 | 8.34 | +0.195 | 9 → 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.34 | 8.33 | −0.006 | 15 → 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.67 | 7.70 | +0.033 | 20 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.95 | 7.02 | +0.069 | 16 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.22 | 7.25 | +0.037 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 127, plus 4 carried in. Maintenance 93. Spent 31 on actions (build 6, buy 25). 7 carried over.
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity6 credits for 0.50 levelsmctsahead of Artificial Intelligence by 1 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills6 credits for 0.68 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence6 credits for 0.87 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies6 credits for 0.85 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance6 credits for 0.75 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 9 to 8; Governance & Integrity Tier 15 to 16.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.86 | +0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +0.84 | +0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.76 | +0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.56 | +0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.53 | +0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.41 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |