Round 7 · simulation 40 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-score-sum

Round 2033

Round 7 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.049 to 6.67.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.67 (+0.049)
In: 6.62
Rank by index
88
In: 89
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
12
In: 7
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.792.86+0.06911
Strategic Infrastructure6.746.74+0.0058
National Security3.463.46+0.00410
Human Capital7.998.05+0.06712
Information & Influence8.348.34+0.0028
Governance & Integrity8.338.33−0.00416
Financial Strength7.707.71+0.01620
Production & Innovation7.027.14+0.11516 → 15
Trade & Investment7.257.42+0.16813

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 131, plus 7 carried in. Maintenance 94. Spent 32 on actions (buy 13, partner 19). 12 carried over.

  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access6 credits for 0.85 levelsmctsahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection6 credits for 0.73 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing6 credits for 0.70 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence6 credits for 0.81 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion6 credits for 0.77 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 16 to 15.

The groups that moved most in 2033, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.77+0.770.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.70+0.700.000.00−0.01
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.56+0.560.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.42+0.420.000.00−0.01
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.40+0.410.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.38+0.360.000.00+0.02