Round 2034
Round 8 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.067 to 6.74.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.74 (+0.067)
- In: 6.67
- Rank by index
- 86
- In: 88
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 16
- In: 11
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.86 | 3.10 | +0.243 | 11 → 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.74 | 6.75 | +0.010 | 8 |
| National Security | 3.46 | 3.47 | +0.004 | 10 |
| Human Capital | 8.05 | 8.09 | +0.035 | 12 → 11 |
| Information & Influence | 8.34 | 8.35 | +0.009 | 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.33 | 8.32 | −0.005 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.71 | 7.72 | +0.002 | 20 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.14 | 7.21 | +0.076 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.42 | 7.65 | +0.225 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 133, plus 11 carried in. Maintenance 95. Spent 33 on actions (buy 26, partner 7). 16 carried over.
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity7 credits for 0.51 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
- BuyArtificial Intelligence7 credits for 0.87 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.72 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies7 credits for 0.85 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication7 credits for 0.76 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 11 to 10; Human Capital Tier 12 to 11.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.87 | +0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +0.85 | +0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.71 | +0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.51 | +0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.43 | +0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.41 | +0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |