Round 2040
Round 14 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.039 to 6.41.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.41 (+0.040)
- In: 6.37
- Rank by index
- 91
- In: 91
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 25
- In: 18
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.46 | 3.65 | +0.184 | 8 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 5.79 | 5.76 | −0.021 | 9 |
| National Security | 3.12 | 3.11 | −0.007 | 10 |
| Human Capital | 7.63 | 7.62 | −0.017 | 11 |
| Information & Influence | 8.39 | 8.39 | +0.001 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.83 | 7.83 | −0.004 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 6.93 | 7.01 | +0.078 | 22 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.59 | 6.67 | +0.085 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.61 | 7.66 | +0.055 | 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 130, plus 18 carried in. Maintenance 92. Spent 31 on actions (buy 19, partner 13). 25 carried over.
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity6 credits for 0.47 levelsmctsahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing6 credits for 0.75 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence6 credits for 0.74 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication6 credits for 0.70 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.37 levelsmcts_fill
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.11 | +0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 |
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +0.75 | +0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.59 | +0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.47 | +0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.36 | +0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.06 |