Round 2041
Round 15 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Public service leap, and the index +0.107 to 6.52.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.52 (+0.107)
- In: 6.41
- Rank by index
- 90
- In: 91
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 35
- In: 24
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.65 | 3.86 | +0.215 | 8 → 7 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 5.76 | 5.85 | +0.083 | 9 |
| National Security | 3.11 | 3.11 | +0.001 | 10 |
| Human Capital | 7.62 | 7.67 | +0.049 | 11 |
| Information & Influence | 8.39 | 8.46 | +0.064 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.83 | 7.91 | +0.088 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.01 | 7.12 | +0.109 | 22 → 21 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.67 | 6.88 | +0.209 | 15 → 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.66 | 7.81 | +0.146 | 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 136, plus 24 carried in. Maintenance 93. Spent 33 on actions (buy 26, partner 7). 35 carried over.
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity7 credits for 0.48 levelsmctsahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.62 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing7 credits for 0.77 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion7 credits for 0.74 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence7 credits for 0.79 levelsmcts_fill
- Upside event: Public service leap S18. +11.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 8 to 7; Financial Strength Tier 22 to 21; Production & Innovation Tier 15 to 14.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +0.82 | +0.77 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.77 | +0.74 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.67 | +0.62 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.50 | +0.48 | 0.00 | +0.03 | −0.01 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.48 | +0.39 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.06 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.38 | +0.35 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |