Round 16 · simulation 40 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-score-sum

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.107 to 6.63.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.63 (+0.107)
In: 6.52
Rank by index
89
In: 90
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
53
In: 33
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.864.25+0.3917
Strategic Infrastructure5.855.94+0.0919
National Security3.113.12+0.00510
Human Capital7.677.71+0.04911
Information & Influence8.468.59+0.1367
Governance & Integrity7.918.00+0.08716
Financial Strength7.127.19+0.07721
Production & Innovation6.886.92+0.03514
Trade & Investment7.817.89+0.08911

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 150, plus 33 carried in. Maintenance 96. Spent 34 on actions (buy 27, partner 7). 53 carried over.

  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation7 credits for 0.84 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • BuyEnergy Technologies7 credits for 0.81 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 1 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation7 credits for 0.84 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 0 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing7 credits for 0.78 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies7 credits for 0.79 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +3.7 points this round.

The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.90+0.790.00+0.110.00
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.90+0.840.00+0.060.00
Energy Technologies+0.87+0.810.00+0.060.00
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+0.83+0.780.00+0.060.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.48+0.420.00+0.060.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.45+0.390.00+0.03+0.02