Round 2043
Round 17 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.854 to 5.77.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2043 (the end of 2042) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 5.77 (−0.855)
- In: 6.63
- Rank by index
- 104
- In: 89
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 66
- In: 50
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 4.25 | 3.82 | −0.430 | 7 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 5.94 | 4.83 | −1.112 | 9 → 10 |
| National Security | 3.12 | 2.69 | −0.429 | 10 → 11 |
| Human Capital | 7.71 | 6.97 | −0.747 | 11 → 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.59 | 7.67 | −0.919 | 7 → 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.00 | 7.43 | −0.572 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.19 | 5.89 | −1.299 | 21 → 24 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.92 | 5.94 | −0.979 | 14 → 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.89 | 6.69 | −1.203 | 11 → 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2043: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 152, plus 50 carried in. Maintenance 99. Spent 38 on actions (buy 23, partner 15). 66 carried over.
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing8 credits for 0.68 levelsmctsahead of Global Value Chain Position by 0 per cent
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation8 credits for 0.90 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position8 credits for 0.85 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics8 credits for 0.84 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance8 credits for 0.83 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −68.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 9 to 10; National Security Tier 10 to 11; Human Capital Tier 11 to 12; Information & Influence Tier 7 to 8; Financial Strength Tier 21 to 24; Production & Innovation Tier 14 to 15; Trade & Investment Tier 11 to 13.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −1.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −2.00 | +0.02 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −1.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.94 | +0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −1.91 | +0.42 | 0.00 | −2.33 | −0.01 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | −1.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.87 | +0.01 |
| Energy Infrastructure | −1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.81 | +0.01 |
| Agriculture & Food Infrastructure | −1.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.79 | 0.00 |