Round 2044
Round 18 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.046 to 5.82.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 5.82 (+0.046)
- In: 5.77
- Rank by index
- 102
- In: 104
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 62
- In: 62
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.82 | 3.83 | +0.007 | 7 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 4.83 | 4.85 | +0.028 | 10 |
| National Security | 2.69 | 2.70 | +0.011 | 11 |
| Human Capital | 6.97 | 6.97 | 0.000 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 7.67 | 7.67 | −0.009 | 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.43 | 7.42 | −0.007 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 5.89 | 5.88 | −0.018 | 24 |
| Production & Innovation | 5.94 | 6.05 | +0.116 | 15 → 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 6.69 | 6.98 | +0.285 | 13 → 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2044: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 119, plus 62 carried in. Maintenance 82. Spent 38 on actions (buy 8, partner 30). 62 carried over.
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics8 credits for 0.94 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance8 credits for 0.48 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access8 credits for 0.96 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 1 per cent
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection8 credits for 0.85 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 1 per cent
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion8 credits for 0.88 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 15 to 14; Trade & Investment Tier 13 to 12.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.89 | +0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.88 | +0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.46 | +0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.37 | +0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.06 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.33 | +0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.09 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.10 |