Round 2036
Round 10 of 20 in simulation 32 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.048 to 6.88.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.88 (+0.048)
- In: 6.83
- Rank by index
- 83
- In: 83
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 5
- In: 2
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.11 | 3.36 | +0.250 | 10 → 9 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.80 | 6.81 | +0.010 | 8 |
| National Security | 3.56 | 3.57 | +0.006 | 10 |
| Human Capital | 8.43 | 8.43 | −0.002 | 11 |
| Information & Influence | 8.56 | 8.56 | −0.001 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.35 | 8.35 | −0.005 | 15 → 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.75 | 7.76 | +0.015 | 20 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.22 | 7.25 | +0.036 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.69 | 7.81 | +0.119 | 13 → 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 135, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 99. Spent 33 on actions (build 7, buy 20, partner 7). 5 carried over.
- BuildResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation7 credits for 0.35 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.69 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence7 credits for 0.83 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access7 credits for 0.84 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies7 credits for 0.83 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 10 to 9; Governance & Integrity Tier 15 to 16; Trade & Investment Tier 13 to 12.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.97 | +0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.14 |
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +0.83 | +0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.69 | +0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.43 | +0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.37 | +0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.15 | +0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |