Round 2035
Round 9 of 20 in simulation 32 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.049 to 6.83.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.83 (+0.049)
- In: 6.78
- Rank by index
- 83
- In: 85
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 3
- In: 2
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.04 | 3.11 | +0.069 | 11 → 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.83 | 6.80 | −0.031 | 8 |
| National Security | 3.58 | 3.56 | −0.016 | 10 |
| Human Capital | 8.37 | 8.43 | +0.060 | 11 |
| Information & Influence | 8.44 | 8.56 | +0.123 | 9 → 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.36 | 8.35 | −0.006 | 15 |
| Financial Strength | 7.74 | 7.75 | +0.003 | 20 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.13 | 7.22 | +0.092 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.54 | 7.69 | +0.147 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 131, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 98. Spent 32 on actions (buy 26, partner 6). 3 carried over.
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation6 credits for 0.49 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by -1 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing6 credits for 0.69 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance6 credits for 0.76 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity6 credits for 0.52 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication6 credits for 0.74 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 11 to 10; Information & Influence Tier 9 to 7.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.77 | +0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.74 | +0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.69 | +0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.64 | +0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +0.48 | +0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.39 | +0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |