Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 32 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.063 to 6.99.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.99 (+0.063)
- In: 6.92
- Rank by index
- 80
- In: 82
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 6
- In: 6
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.50 | 3.67 | +0.172 | 9 → 8 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.82 | 6.83 | +0.009 | 8 |
| National Security | 3.58 | 3.59 | +0.013 | 10 → 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.43 | 8.43 | −0.001 | 11 |
| Information & Influence | 8.56 | 8.64 | +0.076 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.34 | 8.34 | −0.005 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.77 | 7.77 | 0.000 | 20 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.27 | 7.39 | +0.120 | 15 → 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.05 | 8.23 | +0.182 | 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 137, plus 6 carried in. Maintenance 102. Spent 34 on actions (buy 20, partner 14). 6 carried over.
- PartnerNuclear Deterrence7 credits for 0.23 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by -2 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.67 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing7 credits for 0.82 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion7 credits for 0.77 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation7 credits for 0.86 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 9 to 8; National Security Tier 10 to 9; Production & Innovation Tier 15 to 14.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +0.82 | +0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.79 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.67 | +0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.46 | +0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.43 | +0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.43 | +0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |