Round 13 · simulation 32 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2039

Round 13 of 20 in simulation 32 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.052 to 7.04.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.04 (+0.052)
In: 6.99
Rank by index
80
In: 80
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
5
In: 6
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.673.86+0.1898
Strategic Infrastructure6.836.83+0.0048
National Security3.593.61+0.0219
Human Capital8.438.43+0.00511
Information & Influence8.648.84+0.2037
Governance & Integrity8.348.33−0.00516
Financial Strength7.777.80+0.03220
Production & Innovation7.397.39+0.00914
Trade & Investment8.238.24+0.01111

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 137, plus 6 carried in. Maintenance 104. Spent 34 on actions (buy 21, partner 14). 5 carried over.

  • PartnerNuclear Deterrence7 credits for 0.23 levelsmctsahead of Nuclear Deterrence by -1 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance7 credits for 0.77 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies7 credits for 0.81 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance7 credits for 0.40 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing7 credits for 0.80 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2039, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.81+0.810.000.000.00
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+0.81+0.800.000.000.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.77+0.770.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.43+0.430.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.210.000.000.00+0.21
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.20+0.200.000.000.00