Round 2032
Round 6 of 20 in simulation 41 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.060 to 7.44.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.44 (+0.061)
- In: 7.38
- Rank by index
- 75
- In: 76
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 1
- In: 4
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.30 | 3.46 | +0.156 | 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.88 | 7.88 | +0.001 | 7 |
| National Security | 4.60 | 4.61 | +0.005 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.34 | 8.52 | +0.180 | 12 → 10 |
| Information & Influence | 8.59 | 8.63 | +0.048 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.89 | 8.89 | 0.000 | 14 |
| Financial Strength | 8.60 | 8.62 | +0.022 | 17 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.91 | 7.91 | +0.002 | 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.32 | 8.45 | +0.130 | 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 147, plus 4 carried in. Maintenance 114. Spent 37 on actions (build 7, buy 15, partner 15). 1 carried over.
- BuySpace Technologies7 credits for 0.60 levelsmctsahead of Technical & Vocational Skills by -2 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.77 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies7 credits for 0.96 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access7 credits for 0.96 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication7 credits for 0.85 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 12 to 10.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +0.96 | +0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.83 | +0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Space Technologies | +0.60 | +0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.48 | +0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.45 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.42 | +0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |