Round 7 · simulation 41 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2033

Round 7 of 20 in simulation 41 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.073 to 7.51.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.51 (+0.073)
In: 7.44
Rank by index
73
In: 75
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1
In: 1
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.463.54+0.08410
Strategic Infrastructure7.887.88+0.0027
National Security4.614.61+0.0039
Human Capital8.528.66+0.14510
Information & Influence8.638.87+0.2377
Governance & Integrity8.898.890.00014
Financial Strength8.628.64+0.02217
Production & Innovation7.917.92+0.01114
Trade & Investment8.458.60+0.15512

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 148, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 115. Spent 32 on actions (buy 15, partner 18). 1 carried over.

  • PartnerResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation7 credits for 0.57 levelsmctsahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by -1 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.79 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation7 credits for 0.99 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance7 credits for 0.85 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication3 credits for 0.34 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2033, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.86+0.850.000.00+0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.79+0.790.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.65+0.650.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.59+0.590.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.50+0.490.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.48+0.480.000.000.00