Round 8 · simulation 41 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2034

Round 8 of 20 in simulation 41 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.068 to 7.58.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.58 (+0.068)
In: 7.51
Rank by index
72
In: 73
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1
In: 1
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.543.72+0.17610 → 9
Strategic Infrastructure7.887.89+0.0057
National Security4.614.62+0.0069
Human Capital8.668.77+0.11010 → 8
Information & Influence8.879.04+0.1717
Governance & Integrity8.898.89+0.00114
Financial Strength8.648.65+0.00817
Production & Innovation7.928.01+0.08814
Trade & Investment8.608.65+0.05112

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 149, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 117. Spent 33 on actions (buy 22, partner 10). 1 carried over.

  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity7 credits for 0.55 levelsmctsahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by -1 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence7 credits for 0.95 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.77 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation7 credits for 0.96 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection3 credits for 0.32 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 10 to 9; Human Capital Tier 10 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2034, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.98+0.980.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.95+0.950.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.77+0.770.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.56+0.550.000.00+0.01
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.48+0.480.000.000.00
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.19+0.190.000.000.00