Round 9 · simulation 41 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 41 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.064 to 7.65.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.65 (+0.064)
In: 7.58
Rank by index
72
In: 72
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
2
In: 1
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.723.90+0.1819 → 8
Strategic Infrastructure7.897.90+0.0087
National Security4.624.63+0.0109
Human Capital8.778.83+0.0588
Information & Influence9.049.13+0.0917
Governance & Integrity8.898.890.00014
Financial Strength8.658.69+0.03517
Production & Innovation8.018.14+0.13214
Trade & Investment8.658.71+0.06112

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 152, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 119. Spent 33 on actions (build 8, buy 22, partner 3). 2 carried over.

  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance8 credits for 0.31 levelsmctsahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by -2 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies8 credits for 0.92 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion8 credits for 0.84 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing8 credits for 0.75 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection3 credits for 0.32 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 9 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.92+0.920.000.000.00
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.86+0.840.000.00+0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.75+0.750.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.48+0.480.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.34+0.320.000.00+0.01
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.32+0.320.000.000.00