Round 2028
Round 2 of 20 in simulation 6 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.026 to 6.69.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.69 (+0.026)
- In: 6.67
- Rank by index
- 88
- In: 88
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 0
- In: 2
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.63 | 2.63 | 0.000 | 12 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.52 | 7.52 | 0.000 | 8 |
| National Security | 3.83 | 3.83 | 0.000 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.49 | 7.58 | +0.091 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 7.55 | 7.69 | +0.144 | 10 → 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.30 | 8.29 | −0.006 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.62 | 7.59 | −0.029 | 19 → 21 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.23 | 7.28 | +0.046 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.83 | 7.82 | −0.013 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2028: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 128, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 98. Spent 32 on actions (build 17, buy 7, partner 7). 0 carried over.
- PartnerTechnology Adoption & Diffusion7 credits for 0.70 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.89 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance7 credits for 0.90 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling7 credits for 0.85 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildDigital & AI Competence3 credits for 0.31 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 10 to 9; Financial Strength Tier 19 to 21.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.87 | +0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.04 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.35 | +0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.35 | +0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.34 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.12 | +0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.05 |