Round 2029
Round 3 of 20 in simulation 6 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.037 to 6.73.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.73 (+0.037)
- In: 6.69
- Rank by index
- 86
- In: 88
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 2
- In: 0
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.63 | 2.78 | +0.147 | 12 → 11 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.52 | 7.50 | −0.025 | 8 |
| National Security | 3.83 | 3.82 | −0.014 | 9 → 10 |
| Human Capital | 7.58 | 7.69 | +0.112 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 7.69 | 7.68 | −0.009 | 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.29 | 8.29 | −0.004 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.59 | 7.58 | −0.010 | 21 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.28 | 7.42 | +0.148 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.82 | 7.80 | −0.017 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2029: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 127. Maintenance 98. Spent 28 on actions (build 9, buy 19). 2 carried over.
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing6 credits for 0.70 levelsmctsahead of Technical & Vocational Skills by -1 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills6 credits for 0.78 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies6 credits for 0.91 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion6 credits for 0.81 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildDigital & AI Competence3 credits for 0.27 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 12 to 11; National Security Tier 9 to 10.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.14 | +1.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.03 |
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +0.91 | +0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.70 | +0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.51 | +0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.34 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.17 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |