Round 2030
Round 4 of 20 in simulation 6 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.025 to 6.75.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.75 (+0.024)
- In: 6.73
- Rank by index
- 86
- In: 86
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 3
- In: 2
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.78 | 2.77 | −0.006 | 11 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.50 | 7.47 | −0.029 | 8 |
| National Security | 3.82 | 3.80 | −0.016 | 10 |
| Human Capital | 7.69 | 7.82 | +0.130 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 7.68 | 7.75 | +0.072 | 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.29 | 8.28 | −0.010 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.58 | 7.61 | +0.028 | 21 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.42 | 7.49 | +0.064 | 15 → 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.80 | 7.79 | −0.011 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 127, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 99. Spent 28 on actions (build 9, buy 6, partner 13). 3 carried over.
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity6 credits for 0.50 levelsmctsahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by -1 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills6 credits for 0.75 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation6 credits for 0.92 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.39 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildDigital & AI Competence3 credits for 0.27 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 15 to 14.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.66 | +0.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.50 | +0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.44 | +0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.34 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.23 | +0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.19 | +0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |