Round 5 · simulation 6 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2031

Round 5 of 20 in simulation 6 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.058 to 6.81.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.81 (+0.058)
In: 6.75
Rank by index
84
In: 86
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
3
In: 2
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.772.90+0.12911
Strategic Infrastructure7.477.44−0.0318
National Security3.803.79−0.01710
Human Capital7.827.96+0.14312
Information & Influence7.757.96+0.2019 → 8
Governance & Integrity8.288.27−0.00816
Financial Strength7.617.65+0.04321
Production & Innovation7.497.49+0.00114
Trade & Investment7.797.85+0.05913

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 131, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 99. Spent 32 on actions (build 6, buy 13, partner 13). 3 carried over.

  • PartnerSpace Technologies6 credits for 0.57 levelsmctsahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills6 credits for 0.72 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence6 credits for 0.90 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance6 credits for 0.77 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access6 credits for 0.86 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 9 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.04+0.900.000.00+0.14
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.80+0.800.000.000.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.78+0.770.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.44+0.460.000.00−0.02
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.42+0.430.000.00−0.01
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.34+0.340.000.000.00