Round 2037
Round 11 of 20 in simulation 6 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.067 to 7.16.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.16 (+0.067)
- In: 7.09
- Rank by index
- 80
- In: 80
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 6
- In: 5
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.70 | 3.81 | +0.113 | 8 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.44 | 7.45 | +0.015 | 8 |
| National Security | 3.80 | 3.81 | +0.012 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.32 | 8.37 | +0.049 | 8 |
| Information & Influence | 8.35 | 8.56 | +0.217 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.23 | 8.22 | −0.007 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.82 | 7.82 | −0.001 | 19 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.69 | 7.89 | +0.195 | 14 → 12 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.48 | 8.48 | +0.006 | 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 144, plus 5 carried in. Maintenance 108. Spent 36 on actions (build 7, buy 28). 6 carried over.
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity7 credits for 0.52 levelsmctsahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by -1 per cent
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing7 credits for 0.86 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion7 credits for 0.80 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance7 credits for 0.79 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildDigital & AI Competence7 credits for 0.70 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 14 to 12.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +0.85 | +0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.82 | +0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.80 | +0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.53 | +0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.45 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.27 | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |