Round 2040
Round 14 of 20 in simulation 6 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.121 to 6.23.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.23 (−0.120)
- In: 6.35
- Rank by index
- 94
- In: 91
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 0
- In: 7
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.41 | 3.28 | −0.131 | 9 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.42 | 6.36 | −0.060 | 9 |
| National Security | 2.78 | 2.80 | +0.017 | 11 |
| Human Capital | 8.04 | 7.93 | −0.115 | 11 |
| Information & Influence | 7.95 | 7.74 | −0.207 | 7 → 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.55 | 7.42 | −0.134 | 16 → 17 |
| Financial Strength | 6.64 | 6.43 | −0.212 | 23 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.99 | 6.82 | −0.165 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.38 | 7.30 | −0.079 | 12 → 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 112, plus 7 carried in. Maintenance 91. Spent 28 on actions (buy 6, partner 22). 0 carried over.
- PartnerNuclear Deterrence7 credits for 0.25 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by -2 per cent
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance7 credits for 0.48 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence7 credits for 0.94 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies3 credits for 0.36 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence3 credits for 0.36 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: −10.9 points this round.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 7 to 8; Governance & Integrity Tier 16 to 17; Trade & Investment Tier 12 to 13.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.67 | +0.90 | 0.00 | −0.21 | −0.01 |
| Digital & Services Trade | −0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.40 | +0.01 |
| Labour & Employment | −0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.34 | −0.01 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.35 | +0.01 |
| Global Value Chain Position | −0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.20 | −0.10 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | −0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.26 | 0.00 |