Round 2041
Round 15 of 20 in simulation 6 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 4 actions, and the index −0.144 to 6.09.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.09 (−0.144)
- In: 6.23
- Rank by index
- 95
- In: 94
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 0
- In: 0
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.28 | 3.06 | −0.217 | 9 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.36 | 6.25 | −0.103 | 9 |
| National Security | 2.80 | 2.80 | +0.001 | 11 |
| Human Capital | 7.93 | 7.79 | −0.134 | 11 |
| Information & Influence | 7.74 | 7.58 | −0.158 | 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.42 | 7.29 | −0.133 | 17 |
| Financial Strength | 6.43 | 6.27 | −0.163 | 23 → 24 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.82 | 6.59 | −0.232 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.30 | 7.14 | −0.158 | 13 → 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 111. Maintenance 89. Spent 22 on actions (build 6, partner 17). 0 carried over.
- BuildNuclear Deterrence6 credits for 0.11 levelsmctsahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by -2 per cent
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.36 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access6 credits for 0.70 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation6 credits for 0.72 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: −10.9 points this round.
Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 23 to 24; Trade & Investment Tier 13 to 12.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Digital & Services Trade | −0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.40 | −0.02 |
| Artificial Intelligence | −0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.41 | +0.01 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.35 | 0.00 |
| Labour & Employment | −0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.34 | +0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | −0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.21 | −0.11 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.20 | −0.08 |