Round 16 · simulation 6 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 6 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.023 to 6.11.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.11 (+0.023)
In: 6.09
Rank by index
95
In: 95
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
11
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.063.24+0.1789 → 8
Strategic Infrastructure6.256.21−0.0389
National Security2.802.78−0.01511 → 6
Human Capital7.797.80+0.00711
Information & Influence7.587.64+0.0538
Governance & Integrity7.297.28−0.01117
Financial Strength6.276.31+0.03924
Production & Innovation6.596.57−0.02215
Trade & Investment7.147.15+0.01412

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 124. Maintenance 86. Spent 28 on actions (buy 17, partner 11). 11 carried over.

  • PartnerResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation6 credits for 0.44 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.36 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence6 credits for 0.67 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing6 credits for 0.54 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies6 credits for 0.67 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 9 to 8; National Security Tier 11 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.67+0.670.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.61+0.670.000.00−0.06
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.54+0.540.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.35+0.350.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.33+0.360.000.00−0.03
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.32+0.360.000.00−0.04