Round 17 · simulation 6 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2043

Round 17 of 20 in simulation 6 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.015 to 6.12.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2043 (the end of 2042) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.12 (+0.015)
In: 6.11
Rank by index
95
In: 95
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
18
In: 10
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.243.29+0.0568
Strategic Infrastructure6.216.17−0.0479
National Security2.782.76−0.0246
Human Capital7.807.82+0.01811
Information & Influence7.647.63−0.0108
Governance & Integrity7.287.26−0.01117
Financial Strength6.316.36+0.05424
Production & Innovation6.576.65+0.08315
Trade & Investment7.157.17+0.02112

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2043: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 126, plus 10 carried in. Maintenance 87. Spent 31 on actions (buy 12, partner 19). 18 carried over.

  • PartnerResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation6 credits for 0.49 levelsmctsahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.39 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication6 credits for 0.72 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion6 credits for 0.72 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing6 credits for 0.73 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2043, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+0.73+0.730.000.000.00
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.71+0.720.000.00−0.02
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.36+0.380.000.00−0.02
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.32+0.360.000.00−0.04
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.29+0.310.000.00−0.01
Artificial Intelligence−0.100.000.000.00−0.10