Round 18 · simulation 6 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2044

Round 18 of 20 in simulation 6 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.031 to 6.16.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.16 (+0.031)
In: 6.12
Rank by index
94
In: 95
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
26
In: 17
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.293.58+0.2928 → 7
Strategic Infrastructure6.176.12−0.0519
National Security2.762.73−0.0276
Human Capital7.827.83+0.01511
Information & Influence7.637.61−0.0148
Governance & Integrity7.267.25−0.01117
Financial Strength6.366.42+0.06324 → 23
Production & Innovation6.656.64−0.01315
Trade & Investment7.177.20+0.02912

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2044: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 128, plus 17 carried in. Maintenance 87. Spent 31 on actions (buy 25, partner 6). 26 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.39 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by -1 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence6 credits for 0.73 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing6 credits for 0.59 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Technologies6 credits for 0.76 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation6 credits for 0.78 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 8 to 7; Financial Strength Tier 24 to 23.

The groups that moved most in 2044, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+0.81+0.730.000.00+0.08
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.77+0.780.000.00−0.01
Energy Technologies+0.76+0.760.000.00−0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.59+0.590.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.38+0.390.000.00−0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.35+0.360.000.00−0.01