Round 3 · simulation 29 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-tier1

Round 2029

Round 3 of 20 in simulation 29 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.046 to 7.29.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.29 (+0.046)
In: 7.24
Rank by index
77
In: 78
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1
In: 3
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.003.10+0.10012 → 10
Strategic Infrastructure7.887.88+0.0017
National Security4.604.600.0009
Human Capital7.797.94+0.14812
Information & Influence8.428.57+0.1479 → 7
Governance & Integrity8.898.890.00014
Financial Strength8.608.62+0.01717
Production & Innovation7.707.700.00014
Trade & Investment8.308.300.00012

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 144, plus 3 carried in. Maintenance 111. Spent 36 on actions (build 14, buy 14, partner 7). 1 carried over.

  • PartnerDigital & AI Competence7 credits for 0.61 levelsmcts
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.87 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling7 credits for 0.85 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies7 credits for 1.00 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance7 credits for 0.86 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 12 to 10; Information & Influence Tier 9 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.00+1.000.000.000.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.86+0.860.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.53+0.530.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.45+0.450.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.35+0.350.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.10+0.100.000.000.00