Round 12 · simulation 29 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-tier1

Round 2038

Round 12 of 20 in simulation 29 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 4 actions, and the index +0.037 to 7.76.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.76 (+0.038)
In: 7.72
Rank by index
71
In: 71
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1
In: 1
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.174.38+0.2108
Strategic Infrastructure7.927.93+0.0117
National Security4.684.69+0.0159
Human Capital8.818.81+0.0018
Information & Influence9.199.20+0.0127
Governance & Integrity8.908.900.00014
Financial Strength8.678.68+0.00317
Production & Innovation8.198.20+0.01012
Trade & Investment8.969.03+0.07211

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 153, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 123. Spent 30 on actions (build 8, buy 15, partner 8). 1 carried over.

  • BuildArtificial Intelligence8 credits for 0.38 levelsmcts
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation8 credits for 0.93 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing8 credits for 0.87 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication8 credits for 0.81 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2038, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.93+0.930.000.000.00
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+0.87+0.870.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.41+0.410.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.28+0.130.000.00+0.15
Advanced Manufacturing+0.080.000.000.00+0.08
Nuclear Deterrence+0.08+0.080.000.000.00