Round 2028
Round 2 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.019 to 6.49.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.49 (+0.018)
- In: 6.47
- Rank by index
- 90
- In: 90
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 3
- In: 2
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.53 | 2.53 | 0.000 | 12 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.90 | 6.90 | 0.000 | 8 |
| National Security | 3.52 | 3.56 | +0.032 | 10 |
| Human Capital | 7.43 | 7.50 | +0.071 | 13 → 12 |
| Information & Influence | 7.96 | 7.95 | −0.010 | 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.36 | 8.36 | −0.003 | 15 |
| Financial Strength | 7.64 | 7.62 | −0.013 | 20 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.78 | 6.91 | +0.125 | 17 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.09 | 7.05 | −0.036 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2028: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 125, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 92. Spent 32 on actions (build 17, buy 14). 3 carried over.
- BuyStrategic Strike & Missile Defence7 credits for 0.65 levelsmcts
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.88 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion7 credits for 0.95 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildDigital & AI Competence7 credits for 0.76 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling3 credits for 0.34 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 13 to 12.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.95 | +0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.35 | +0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Strategic Strike & Missile Defence | +0.32 | +0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.15 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.14 | +0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Global Value Chain Position | −0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.08 |