Round 3 · simulation 40 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-tier1

Round 2029

Round 3 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.026 to 6.51.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.51 (+0.026)
In: 6.49
Rank by index
90
In: 90
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
4
In: 3
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.532.60+0.07412 → 11
Strategic Infrastructure6.906.87−0.0348
National Security3.563.58+0.02110
Human Capital7.507.60+0.10112
Information & Influence7.958.06+0.1159
Governance & Integrity8.368.35−0.00415
Financial Strength7.627.60−0.02220
Production & Innovation6.916.87−0.04017
Trade & Investment7.057.08+0.02313

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 125, plus 3 carried in. Maintenance 93. Spent 31 on actions (build 13, buy 13, partner 6). 4 carried over.

  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies6 credits for 0.90 levelsmcts
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills6 credits for 0.76 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance6 credits for 0.78 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling6 credits for 0.74 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access6 credits for 0.88 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 12 to 11.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.89+0.900.000.000.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.73+0.780.000.00−0.05
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.51+0.510.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.42+0.440.000.00−0.02
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence+0.32+0.320.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.29+0.290.000.000.00