Round 2032
Round 6 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.050 to 6.63.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.63 (+0.049)
- In: 6.58
- Rank by index
- 89
- In: 90
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 5
- In: 4
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.67 | 2.75 | +0.079 | 11 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.79 | 6.75 | −0.041 | 8 |
| National Security | 3.54 | 3.53 | −0.009 | 10 |
| Human Capital | 7.87 | 8.00 | +0.129 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.12 | 8.32 | +0.194 | 9 → 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.34 | 8.33 | −0.006 | 15 → 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.62 | 7.68 | +0.064 | 20 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.96 | 6.95 | −0.003 | 16 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.26 | 7.30 | +0.037 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 126, plus 4 carried in. Maintenance 94. Spent 31 on actions (build 6, buy 12, partner 12). 5 carried over.
- PartnerNuclear Deterrence6 credits for 0.21 levelsmcts
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies6 credits for 0.85 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance6 credits for 0.75 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills6 credits for 0.67 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.38 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 9 to 8; Governance & Integrity Tier 15 to 16.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +0.84 | +0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.77 | +0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.76 | +0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.42 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.37 | +0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.37 | +0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |