Round 8 · simulation 40 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-tier1

Round 2034

Round 8 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.057 to 6.73.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.73 (+0.058)
In: 6.67
Rank by index
86
In: 88
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
10
In: 7
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.913.06+0.15111 → 10
Strategic Infrastructure6.756.75+0.0048
National Security3.543.55+0.00910 → 6
Human Capital8.098.13+0.03611
Information & Influence8.328.33+0.0058
Governance & Integrity8.338.32−0.00516
Financial Strength7.757.78+0.03120
Production & Innovation6.957.07+0.11616
Trade & Investment7.407.57+0.16713

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 131, plus 7 carried in. Maintenance 96. Spent 32 on actions (buy 19, partner 13). 10 carried over.

  • PartnerTechnology Adoption & Diffusion6 credits for 0.58 levelsmcts
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing6 credits for 0.70 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence6 credits for 0.81 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity6 credits for 0.52 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies6 credits for 0.83 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 11 to 10; National Security Tier 10 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2034, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.83+0.830.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.69+0.700.000.00−0.01
Economic Output & Productivity+0.51+0.520.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.42+0.420.000.000.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.41+0.410.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.36+0.360.000.000.00