Round 2035
Round 9 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Core disaster, and the index −0.540 to 6.19.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.19 (−0.540)
- In: 6.73
- Rank by index
- 94
- In: 86
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 16
- In: 10
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.06 | 3.12 | +0.056 | 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.75 | 5.86 | −0.899 | 8 → 9 |
| National Security | 3.55 | 3.17 | −0.378 | 6 → 10 |
| Human Capital | 8.13 | 7.63 | −0.501 | 11 |
| Information & Influence | 8.33 | 8.05 | −0.279 | 8 → 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.32 | 7.86 | −0.466 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.78 | 6.84 | −0.946 | 20 → 22 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.07 | 6.43 | −0.635 | 16 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.57 | 6.76 | −0.812 | 13 → 14 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 136, plus 10 carried in. Maintenance 97. Spent 33 on actions (build 7, buy 13, partner 13). 16 carried over.
- BuildSpace Technologies7 credits for 0.32 levelsmcts
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.70 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation7 credits for 0.89 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion7 credits for 0.78 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence7 credits for 0.82 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Core disaster S07. −41.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 8 to 9; National Security Tier 6 to 10; Information & Influence Tier 8 to 9; Financial Strength Tier 20 to 22; Trade & Investment Tier 13 to 14.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −1.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.60 | −0.01 |
| Financial System Depth & Access | −1.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.41 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −1.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.48 | +0.08 |
| Industrial & Sectoral Base | −1.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.36 | −0.01 |
| Energy Infrastructure | −1.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.31 | +0.01 |
| Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure | −1.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.31 | +0.01 |