Round 20 · simulation 40 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-tier1

Round 2046

Round 20 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.038 to 5.49.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.

Capability index
5.49 (+0.037)
In: 5.46
Rank by index
111
In: 111
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
53
In: 47
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.373.56+0.1888 → 7
Strategic Infrastructure4.644.60−0.04010
National Security2.602.60−0.00513
Human Capital6.756.79+0.03812
Information & Influence7.187.17−0.0099
Governance & Integrity7.197.18−0.00717
Financial Strength5.455.46+0.01726
Production & Innovation5.465.54+0.07916 → 15
Trade & Investment6.466.54+0.07813

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2046: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 111, plus 47 carried in. Maintenance 76. Spent 29 on actions (buy 29). 53 carried over.

  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation6 credits for 0.47 levelsmcts
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing6 credits for 0.55 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion6 credits for 0.70 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence6 credits for 0.66 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Technologies6 credits for 0.70 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 8 to 7; Production & Innovation Tier 16 to 15.

The groups that moved most in 2046, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+0.70+0.700.000.00−0.01
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.69+0.700.000.00−0.01
Artificial Intelligence+0.66+0.660.000.00−0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.54+0.550.000.000.00
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.47+0.470.000.00+0.01
Global Value Chain Position+0.34+0.340.000.00−0.01