Round 2045
Round 19 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.298 to 5.46.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2045 (the end of 2044) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 5.46 (−0.298)
- In: 5.75
- Rank by index
- 111
- In: 104
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 49
- In: 44
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.76 | 3.37 | −0.388 | 7 → 8 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 4.85 | 4.64 | −0.207 | 10 |
| National Security | 2.78 | 2.60 | −0.176 | 11 → 13 |
| Human Capital | 7.06 | 6.75 | −0.304 | 11 → 12 |
| Information & Influence | 7.61 | 7.18 | −0.427 | 8 → 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.42 | 7.19 | −0.230 | 16 → 17 |
| Financial Strength | 5.80 | 5.45 | −0.353 | 25 → 26 |
| Production & Innovation | 5.86 | 5.46 | −0.397 | 16 |
| Trade & Investment | 6.66 | 6.46 | −0.203 | 12 → 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2045: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 116, plus 44 carried in. Maintenance 82. Spent 28 on actions (build 6, buy 6, partner 17). 49 carried over.
- BuildStrategic Strike & Missile Defence6 credits for 0.25 levelsmcts
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.37 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics6 credits for 0.71 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position6 credits for 0.69 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies6 credits for 0.68 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −23.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 7 to 8; National Security Tier 11 to 13; Human Capital Tier 11 to 12; Information & Influence Tier 8 to 9; Governance & Integrity Tier 16 to 17; Financial Strength Tier 25 to 26; Trade & Investment Tier 12 to 13.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biotechnology & Health Technologies | −0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.70 | 0.00 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.68 | 0.00 |
| Labour & Employment | −0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.67 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | −0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.52 | 0.00 |
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | −0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.46 | −0.02 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | −0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.42 | −0.05 |