Round 4 · simulation 3 · mcts-m2.m2-kor-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2030

Round 4 of 20 in simulation 3 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.077 to 16.22.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.22 (+0.077)
In: 16.14
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 2
Credits carried
240
In: 266
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.9215.76−0.1613
Strategic Infrastructure16.2516.18−0.0682
National Security14.5814.58+0.0013
Human Capital17.8318.28+0.4521
Information & Influence15.6416.45+0.8162 → 1
Governance & Integrity15.7415.63−0.1054 → 5
Financial Strength15.9415.86−0.0745
Production & Innovation16.7216.55−0.1721 → 2
Trade & Investment16.6916.70+0.0042 → 1

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 800, plus 266 carried in. Maintenance 596. Spent 230 on actions (build 46, buy 92, partner 92). 240 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance46 credits for 1.35 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks46 credits for 2.59 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 2 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance46 credits for 2.90 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Foundational Education by 1 per cent
  • BuildFoundational Education46 credits for 1.65 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 1 per cent
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation46 credits for 1.26 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 2 per cent

Earlier events still landing: −9.1 points this round.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 2 to 1; Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 5; Production & Innovation Tier 1 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+2.77+2.900.00−0.16+0.03
Alliances & Security Cooperation+1.59+1.750.00−0.150.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+1.28+1.460.00−0.180.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+1.16+1.290.00−0.16+0.02
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+1.15+1.260.00−0.100.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.86+1.320.00−0.180.00