Round 3 · simulation 18 · mcts-m2.m2-kor-mcts-tier1

Round 2029

Round 3 of 20 in simulation 18 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.185 to 16.40.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.40 (+0.185)
In: 16.21
Rank by index
4
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
4
In: 3
Credits carried
303
In: 180
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.0916.10+0.0072
Strategic Infrastructure16.4016.48+0.0831
National Security14.4814.64+0.1603
Human Capital17.4018.02+0.6171
Information & Influence15.8616.26+0.3932 → 1
Governance & Integrity15.9316.02+0.0883
Financial Strength16.1416.18+0.0415 → 4
Production & Innovation16.9316.96+0.0361
Trade & Investment16.7216.96+0.2412

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 950, plus 180 carried in. Maintenance 598. Spent 229 on actions (build 137, buy 46, partner 46). 303 carried over.

  • BuySpace Operations46 credits for 1.78 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills46 credits for 2.40 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildAdvanced Education46 credits for 1.72 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access46 credits for 2.90 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildFoundational Education46 credits for 1.79 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: +3.7 points this round.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 2 to 1; Financial Strength Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.95+1.920.00+0.030.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+1.82+1.700.00+0.130.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+1.48+1.450.00+0.030.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.33+1.300.00+0.030.00
Digital & AI Competence+1.00+0.970.00+0.030.00
Space Operations+0.95+0.890.00+0.060.00