Round 2030
Round 4 of 20 in simulation 18 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.196 to 16.60.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.60 (+0.196)
- In: 16.40
- Rank by index
- 3
- In: 4
- Domains at Tier 1
- 5
- In: 4
- Credits carried
- 366
- In: 288
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.10 | 16.10 | +0.007 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.48 | 16.57 | +0.086 | 1 |
| National Security | 14.64 | 14.80 | +0.163 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.02 | 18.35 | +0.338 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 16.26 | 16.73 | +0.474 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.02 | 16.11 | +0.089 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 16.18 | 16.32 | +0.143 | 4 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.96 | 17.00 | +0.035 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.96 | 17.38 | +0.424 | 2 → 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 952, plus 288 carried in. Maintenance 637. Spent 237 on actions (build 95, partner 142). 366 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance48 credits for 1.31 levelsmctsahead of Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure by 0 per cent
- PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks48 credits for 2.59 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance48 credits for 2.95 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFoundational Education48 credits for 1.61 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection48 credits for 2.49 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +3.7 points this round.
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +1.48 | +1.45 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +1.44 | +1.30 | 0.00 | +0.13 | +0.01 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +1.28 | +1.25 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +1.08 | +0.98 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.04 |
| Space Operations | +0.96 | +0.89 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 |
| Advanced Education | +0.75 | +0.72 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |