Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 18 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.134 to 16.46.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.46 (−0.134)
- In: 16.60
- Rank by index
- 3
- In: 3
- Domains at Tier 1
- 5
- In: 5
- Credits carried
- 383
- In: 348
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.10 | 15.88 | −0.218 | 2 → 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.57 | 16.08 | −0.492 | 1 → 2 |
| National Security | 14.80 | 14.20 | −0.605 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.35 | 18.54 | +0.185 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 16.73 | 16.86 | +0.133 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.11 | 15.80 | −0.306 | 3 → 4 |
| Financial Strength | 16.32 | 16.50 | +0.176 | 4 → 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 17.00 | 16.79 | −0.207 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 17.38 | 17.51 | +0.129 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 947, plus 348 carried in. Maintenance 673. Spent 238 on actions (build 143, partner 95). 383 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance48 credits for 1.10 levelsmctsahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
- BuildDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance48 credits for 2.78 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation48 credits for 1.21 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence48 credits for 2.82 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks48 credits for 2.33 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −22.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 2 to 3; Strategic Infrastructure Tier 1 to 2; Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 4; Financial Strength Tier 4 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +2.01 | +2.46 | 0.00 | −0.46 | +0.01 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +1.50 | +1.91 | 0.00 | −0.44 | +0.03 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +1.15 | +1.41 | 0.00 | −0.27 | +0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +1.03 | +1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.98 | +1.25 | 0.00 | −0.26 | 0.00 |
| Maritime Power | −0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.92 | 0.00 |