Round 14 · simulation 18 · mcts-m2.m2-kor-mcts-tier1

Round 2040

Round 14 of 20 in simulation 18 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.223 to 16.92.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.92 (−0.223)
In: 17.15
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
6
In: 6
Credits carried
175
In: 205
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.3816.15−0.2302
Strategic Infrastructure16.5116.00−0.5182
National Security13.7013.12−0.5823
Human Capital19.1419.03−0.1141
Information & Influence18.0217.92−0.0991
Governance & Integrity17.4917.47−0.0221
Financial Strength16.5316.26−0.2711
Production & Innovation17.9618.34+0.3801
Trade & Investment18.6018.05−0.5521

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 993, plus 205 carried in. Maintenance 778. Spent 246 on actions (build 148, buy 49, partner 49). 175 carried over.

  • BuyStructural Transformation & Complexity49 credits for 1.96 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
  • BuildFinancial Regulation & Integrity49 credits for 2.02 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildDiaspora & Global Communities49 credits for 2.24 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence49 credits for 1.81 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildBusiness Dynamism & Entrepreneurship49 credits for 2.19 levelsmcts_fill
  • Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −29.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2040, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Structural Transformation & Complexity+1.55+1.960.00−0.44+0.02
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.060.000.00−1.060.00
Business Dynamism & Entrepreneurship+1.06+1.480.00−0.43+0.01
Resource Infrastructure−0.960.000.00−0.950.00
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence−0.950.000.00−0.93−0.02
Financial Regulation & Integrity+0.94+1.360.00−0.44+0.02