Round 2041
Round 15 of 20 in simulation 18 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index +0.007 to 16.93.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.93 (+0.007)
- In: 16.92
- Rank by index
- 2
- In: 2
- Domains at Tier 1
- 6
- In: 6
- Credits carried
- 168
- In: 166
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.15 | 16.02 | −0.126 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.00 | 15.75 | −0.246 | 2 |
| National Security | 13.12 | 12.76 | −0.354 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 19.03 | 19.07 | +0.034 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.92 | 17.86 | −0.064 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 17.47 | 17.49 | +0.026 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 16.26 | 16.49 | +0.229 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 18.34 | 18.53 | +0.197 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 18.05 | 18.41 | +0.369 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 963, plus 166 carried in. Maintenance 712. Spent 248 on actions (build 50, partner 199). 168 carried over.
- BuildResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation50 credits for 0.75 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 7 per cent
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection50 credits for 1.83 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation50 credits for 1.98 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence50 credits for 1.95 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics50 credits for 1.80 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −13.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +1.69 | +1.88 | 0.00 | −0.16 | −0.03 |
| Financial Regulation & Integrity | +1.39 | +1.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Business Dynamism & Entrepreneurship | +1.38 | +1.48 | 0.00 | −0.12 | +0.02 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.76 | +0.92 | 0.00 | −0.16 | 0.00 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.75 | +0.90 | 0.00 | −0.15 | 0.00 |
| Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption | +0.61 | +0.70 | 0.00 | −0.12 | +0.03 |