Round 2030
Round 4 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.214 to 11.38.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.38 (−0.215)
- In: 11.60
- Rank by index
- 34
- In: 31
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 246
- In: 174
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.85 | 8.64 | −0.207 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.56 | 13.10 | −0.463 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.33 | 8.82 | −0.504 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 12.37 | 12.74 | +0.367 | 6 → 4 |
| Information & Influence | 11.63 | 11.19 | −0.442 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.98 | 11.68 | −0.303 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.08 | 13.16 | +0.088 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 11.68 | 11.46 | −0.212 | 8 |
| Trade & Investment | 11.90 | 11.64 | −0.252 | 8 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 441, plus 174 carried in. Maintenance 303. Spent 65 on actions (build 39, partner 26). 246 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance13 credits for 0.50 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- BuildDigital & AI Competence13 credits for 1.15 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills13 credits for 1.16 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling13 credits for 1.24 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation13 credits for 1.47 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −20.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 6 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +1.05 | +1.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.98 | +0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.96 | +0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Intelligence & Assessment | −0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.90 | 0.00 |
| Maritime Power | −0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.88 | 0.00 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.86 | 0.00 |